2024 Presidential Election Winner Prediction. Allan lichtman, an election prognosticator who has correctly predicted nearly every presidential race since 1984, developed a formula that is used to make predictions about an. Having looked at two of the most important issues in prediction, we can now get to the larger picture:

Our prediction model calculates kamala harris’s and donald trump’s probabilities of winning each individual state and the election overall Pollyvote accurately predicted trump’s win, including in the popular vote, one month before the election.